Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables service outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates

(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise decreased its anticipated sales volumes, sending the cost down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had forecasted since the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.

"Renewable products' sales rates have actually been adversely affected by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.

"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and renewable product market rate premiums have actually stayed weak," the company added.

Industry executives and analysts have stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing expansion strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki